根据 CME“美联储观察”的最新数据显示，本周美联储维持利率不变的概率高达 95.9%，而降息 25 个基点的概率仅为 4.1%。此外，到 9 月，美联储维持利率不变的概率为 0%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 87.7%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 11.9%，累计降息 75 个基点的概率则为 0.4%。
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