据 ChainCatcher 报道,在最近的路透社/益普索民意调查中,卡马拉·哈里斯(44%)以微弱优势领先于唐纳德·特朗普(42%)。然而,误差幅度在 3 个百分点以内,这意味着在最不利的情况下,哈里斯将仅落后特朗普 1%。
与此同时,加密货币预测市场 Polymarket 则预测特朗普将以较大优势获胜。该市场预计特朗普赢得大选的概率为 62%,而哈里斯的获胜概率仅为 36%。
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