根据金色财经的报道，根据 CME“美联储观察”的数据，美联储在 8 月维持利率不变的可能性为 94.3%，降息 25 个基点的可能性为 5.7%。而到 9 月，美联储维持利率不变的概率为 0.0%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 88.7%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 11.0%，累计降息 75 个基点的概率为 0.3%。
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