Time:2024-09-04 Click:761
加密货币价格预测:VanEck 预计到 2050 年 BTC 价格将达到 290 万美元
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尽管比特币的价格最近波动很大,价格未达到历史最高点 73,700 美元,但有关比特币将继续升值的预测却层出不穷。管理着超过 1000 亿美元资产并发行比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的投资公司 VanEck 发布了其最新预测。
比特币价值预测
根据 VanEck 的最新预测,到 2050 年,比特币可能成为世界储备货币之一,并确立其作为全球主要交易手段的地位。这一说法背后的原因是,人们将开始对现有的储备资产失去信心,这将导致他们寻求比特币等更安全的替代品。
比特币无法扩容一直是加密货币被广泛接受的主要障碍。VanEck 认为,第二层 (L2) 解决方案可以改善比特币的功能和效率,从而解决这些问题。
因此,根据该公司的预测,到 2050 年,各国央行可能会持有 2.5% 的资产以比特币形式存在,而这种加密货币可以结算 10% 的国际贸易和 5% 的国内交易。
在分析全球经济发展、比特币需求和交易量后,VanEck 得出结论,一枚比特币可能价值 290 万美元。这将使比特币的市值超过 61 万亿美元。
这一预测的一部分是对国际贸易状况的假设,预计 GDP 增长 3%,贸易增长 2%。
此外,VanEck 认为,由于经济基本面恶化,美元和欧元等主流货币的市场份额将下降。这反过来又会给比特币和其他新兴货币带来发展机会。
储值的可能性
当将比特币视为一种交易手段时,VanEck 预测它可能占国际支付的 10% 和国内贸易的 5%。该公司还指出,如果将比特币视为一种财富储存手段,那么 85% 的流通供应可能会从市场上消失,这将进一步推高其价值。
该研究符合比特币价格与传统风险资产挂钩的总体趋势,这意味着加密货币的价格将继续对经济变化非常敏感。
In his analysis of the future of global finance, VanEck says that Bitcoin will eventually overtake current reserve currencies to become an integral part of the International Monetary System.
After recovering from a decline around $57,000 on Monday, the price of Bitcoin has risen 3% in the previous few hours and is now standing at $59,140.
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比特币
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