价格分析 3/11：SPX、DXY、BTC、ETH、BNB、SOL、XRP、ADA、DOGE、SHIB

比特币（BTC）多头无意放弃他们的优势。

3 月 11 日，它们突破了 70,000 美元大关，表明交易员的需求持续增长。

Bitwise 首席投资官 Matt Hougan 在给投资者的一份备忘录中表示，专业投资者正在等待购买比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）。

然而，这并没有抑制对比特币 ETF 的需求。

根据Dune的数据，现货比特币ETF已累计占当前比特币供应量的4.06%。

如果继续以同样的速度购买，ETF 的比特币持有量预计将达到每年比特币供应量的 8.65%。

每日加密货币市场表现。

来源：

MicroStrategy 创始人兼董事长 Michael Saylor 在 X 帖子中表示，该公司已使用最近完成的 8 亿美元可转换票据发行的收益，以平均价格 68,477 美元购买了 12,000 枚比特币。

最近一次购买后，MicroStrategy 的比特币持有量达到 205,000 个比特币，平均价格为每个比特币 33,706 美元。

交易者将不得不密切关注比特币 ETF 的流入，因为持续放缓将损害市场情绪并可能导致回调。

比特币和山寨币需要注意哪些重要支撑位？

让我们分析一下图表来找出答案。

标准普尔 500 指数价格分析

标准普尔 500 指数连续几天在上升通道模式内上涨。

价格从 3 月 8 日的通道阻力线转向下跌，表明空头正在捍卫该水平。

SPX 日线图。

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尽管向上倾斜的移动平均线表明买家有优势，但相对强弱指数（RSI）的负背离警告近期可能出现调整或盘整。

如果空头将价格压低至该通道下方，卖盘可能会加剧，指数可能会跌至 50 日简单移动平均线（4,930）。

相反，如果价格从当前水平或通道支撑线上涨，则表明市场情绪依然乐观，交易者在每次小幅下跌时买入。

多头必须将价格推至通道上方才能开始大幅反弹至 5,350 点。

美元指数价格分析

3 月 1 日，美元指数 (DXY) 跌破 20 日均线 (103)，空头在多头随后试图将价格推高至该水平之上时成功守住了该水平。

未能突破 20 日均线加速了 3 月 6 日的抛售。

DXY 日线图。

来源：

Sellers pulled the price back below the 50-day SMA (103) and the neckline of the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on March 7. The moving averages are on the verge of a bearish crossover, and the RSI is near the oversold zone, indicating that bears have the edge. The index could skid to 102 and eventually to 101.

Any recovery attempt is likely to face selling at the 20-day EMA. A rise above the 20-day EMA will be the first sign that the selling pressure may be reducing. The index could then rise to 105.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin struggled to break above $70,000 during the weekend but blasted above the level on March 11, indicating solid demand from the bulls.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The rising moving averages and the RSI in the overbought zone show that the buyers are in control. The BTC/USDT pair could reach $76,000 and subsequently $80,000. This zone is likely to offer strong resistance to the bulls.

It is difficult to call a top in an asset when it is backed by strong momentum. The first sign of weakness will be a break and close below the 20-day EMA ($62,443). That will signal profit booking by the bulls and may start a deeper pullback.

Ether price analysis

The bears tried to pull Ether (ETH) toward the breakout level of $3,600, but the long tail on the March 11 candlestick shows aggressive buying at lower levels.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Buyers have pushed the price above the psychological level of $4,000. That opens the doors for a rally to $4,372, which may act as a minor hurdle, but if this resistance is crossed, the ETH/USDT pair could jump to $4,868.

The sharp up move of the past few days has pushed the RSI into deep overbought territory, signaling caution. Sellers will have to drag the price below the 20-day EMA ($3,505) to break the bullish momentum. The pair may then start a corrective phase.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) has been in a strong uptrend for several days. The momentum picked up further after buyers pushed the price above $460.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The BNB/USDT pair is likely to reach $560, which may act as a stiff resistance in the short term. If bulls do not give up much ground from $560, the uptrend may continue. The pair may then climb to $617.

The essential support on the downside is $460, and then the 20-day EMA ($433). Sellers will have to tug the price below the 20-day EMA to indicate that the uptrend may have ended in the short term.

XRP price analysis

Repeated failure of the bears to sustain XRP (XRP) below the 20-day EMA ($0.60) may have attracted buyers on March 11.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls pushed the price above the immediate resistance of $0.67, indicating solid buying at lower levels. Buyers will try to maintain the momentum and challenge the formidable resistance at $0.74. If this level is scaled, it will indicate the start of a new uptrend. The XRP/USDT pair could rise to $0.85 and subsequently to $0.95.

Alternatively, if the price turns down from $0.74, it will suggest that the bears remain active at higher levels. The pair may then slide to the strong support at $0.67.

Solana price analysis

The bears are trying to start a correction in Solana (SOL), but the bulls are in no mood to relent. The shallow pullback shows a lack of sellers.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Buyers will take advantage of the situation and try to strengthen their position further by pushing the price above $153. If they do that, the SOL/USDT pair could resume the uptrend. The pair may then climb to $184.

If bears want to prevent the upside, they will have to quickly yank the price below the breakout level of $126. That may accelerate selling, opening the doors for a drop to the 50-day SMA ($110).

Related: Why is Bitcoin price up today?

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) dipped to the breakout level of $0.68 on March 11, but the long tail on the candlestick shows solid buying at lower levels.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The upsloping 20-day EMA ($0.68) and the RSI in the positive territory suggest that the path of least resistance is to the upside. Buyers will try to propel the price to the March 4 high of $0.80. If this level is surmounted, the ADA/USDT pair could extend the rally to $0.90 and later to $1.25.

This positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below $0.68. That will indicate a comeback by the bears. The pair then risks a fall to the 50-day SMA ($0.59).

Dogecoin price analysis

The bulls have been fighting with the bears to keep Dogecoin (DOGE) above the breakout level of $0.16.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The rising 20-day EMA ($0.14) and the RSI in the overbought zone suggest that the bulls have an edge. If buyers propel and maintain the price above $0.000018, the DOGE/USDT pair could retest $0.21 and then rally to $0.26.

Contrarily, if the price breaks below $0.16, it will suggest that the bulls have given up. The pair may slump to the 20-day EMA, which remains the critical level to watch out for. A break below this support may start a deeper correction to $0.12.

Shiba Inu price analysis

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has been consolidating inside a large range between $0.000029 and $0.000039 after the sharp rally,

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The range-bound action is correcting the deeply overbought levels on the RSI, suggesting that the markets are cooling down. The SHIB/USDT pair may trade inside the range for some more time.

如果价格跌破该区间，该货币对可能会滑向 20 日均线（0.000024 美元），这是一个值得关注的关键水平。

跌破该水平将使优势向空头倾斜。

相反，突破 0.000039 美元将表明多头重新占据主导地位。

随后该货币对可能会升至 0.000046 美元。

如果突破该水平，反弹可能达到 0.000065 美元。

本文不包含投资建议或建议。

每一项投资和交易行为都涉及风险，读者在做出决定时应自行研究。

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