价格分析 2/26：SPX、DXY、BTC、ETH、BNB、SOL、XRP、ADA、AVAX、DOGE

受现货比特币交易所交易基金持续需求的提振，比特币 (BTC) 于 2 月 26 日飙升至近 55,000 美元的两年高点。

CoinShares 数据显示，过去 7 天机构投资者向比特币投资产品注入了 5.7 亿美元。

根据彭博社 2 月 26 日在 X 上分享的一份研究报告，自推出以来，比特币 ETF 的管理净资产（AUM）流入超过 50 亿美元，而黄金 ETF 同期流出了 36 亿美元。分析师埃里克·巴尔丘纳斯（Eric Balchunas）和副分析师安德烈·亚普（Andre Yapp）。

分析师预计，比特币 ETF 的资产管理规模将在未来两年内超过黄金 ETF。

每日加密货币市场表现。

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比特币的强势可能会提振加密货币领域的情绪，使某些山寨币受益。

然而，随着比特币接近历史高点，不能排除回调的风险，因为空头试图做出最后的努力来阻止反弹。

比特币多头能否维持突破，或者更高的水平会吸引短期交易者获利了结吗？

让我们分析一下图表来找出答案。

标准普尔 500 指数价格分析

2 月 22 日，标准普尔 500 指数飙升至 5,048 点阻力位上方，表明上升趋势已恢复。

SPX 日线图。

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尽管向上倾斜的移动平均线表明买家有优势，但相对强弱指数（RSI）的负背离表明上升趋势可能正在失去动力。

20 天指数移动平均线（4,983）仍然是下行方面值得关注的关键水平。

如果该支撑位破裂，指数可能会跌至50日简单移动平均线（4,857点）。

相反，如果指数继续走高，负背离就会失效。

负面形态的失败通常会导致急剧的上涨。

该指数随后可能升至 5,200 点。

美元指数价格分析

2 月 22 日，空头将美元指数 (DXY) 拉至 20 日均线 (103) 以下，但烛台上的长尾显示在反向头肩形态的颈线处出现了激进的买盘。

DXY 日线图。

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持平的 20 日均线和中点附近的 RSI 并没有给多头或空头带来明显的优势。

如果价格上涨并维持在 20 日均线上方，多头将尝试将指数推至 105 上方。如果他们这样做，反弹可能会达到 107。

另一方面，如果价格从当前水平继续走低，则表明空头正试图卷土重来。

随后该指数可能会滑向 50 日移动平均线 (103)。

从该水平反弹可能会使该指数在一段时间内保持在区间内。

比特币价格分析

Bitcoin broke above the $53,000 overhead resistance on Feb. 26 after consolidating in a tight range for the past several days. This suggests that bulls remain in control.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If buyers sustain the price above $53,000, the BTC/USDT pair is likely to pick up momentum and soar toward $60,000 where the bears are again expected to mount a strong defense.

There are several layers of support on the downside. If $50,500 breaks down, the bulls will try to arrest the decline at the 20-day EMA ($50,075) and then the breakout level of $48,970. The bears will have to tug the price below $48,970 to indicate the start of a deeper correction to the 50-day SMA ($45,734).

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) surged above the $3,036 resistance on Feb. 25, signaling the start of the next leg of the uptrend.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The upsloping moving averages indicate that bulls are in command, but the overbought zone on the RSI suggests a minor correction or consolidation is possible. If buyers do not allow the price to sustain below $3,000, the likelihood of a rally to $3,300 and then to $3,540 increases.

The first sign of weakness will be a break and close below the 20-day EMA ($2,823). That will indicate aggressive profit booking by the traders. The ETH/USDT pair could then plunge to $2,717 and subsequently to the 50-day SMA ($2,546).

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) is trying to resume its uptrend, but the overbought level on the RSI suggests that the bears may pose a strong challenge near the overhead resistance at $400.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price turns down from the current level but rebounds off the 20-day EMA ($356), it will suggest that the sentiment remains bullish. That will enhance the prospects of a break above $400. The BNB/USDT pair may then rally to $460.

Contrarily, if the price continues lower and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bulls are aggressively booking profits. That could sink the pair to the 50-day SMA ($323). A break below this level will tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) has been trading near the moving averages for the past few days, indicating uncertainty about the next directional move.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flattish moving averages and the RSI just below the midpoint suggest a possible range-bound action in the near term. The boundaries of the range could be $0.48 on the downside and $0.58 on the upside.

Buyers will have to drive and maintain the price above $0.58 to indicate that the correction may be over. The XRP/USDT pair could then attempt a rally to $0.67 and eventually to $0.74. The support on the downside is at $0.48 and then $0.46.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) is finding support at the 50-day SMA ($100), indicating that the bulls are trying to arrest the decline.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flattish moving averages and the RSI near the midpoint suggest a range-bound action in the near term. Buyers will have to push and maintain the price above the downtrend line to start a rally to the overhead resistance zone between $119 and $127. If this zone is surmounted, the up move may reach $135.

On the contrary, if the price turns down from the current level or the downtrend line and breaks below the 50-day SMA, it will suggest that the bears are selling on rallies. The SOL/USDT pair could then plummet to $80.

Cardano price analysis

The bulls managed to protect the 20-day EMA ($0.58) in Cardano (ADA), indicating that the sentiment remains positive.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The gradually rising 20-day EMA and the RSI in the positive territory show that the bulls have a slight edge. Buyers will try to kick the price to the overhead resistance zone between $0.64 and $0.68.

Contrary to this assumption, if the ADA/USDT pair turns down sharply and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that the bulls have given up. That could start a correction to the 50-day SMA ($0.54).

Avalanche price analysis

Avalanche (AVAX) bounced off the 50-day SMA ($36.12) on Feb. 24, indicating that lower levels are attracting buyers.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flattish moving averages and the RSI near the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the buyers or the sellers. If the price turns down and breaks below the 50-day SMA, the AVAX/USDT pair could descend to $32.

Alternatively, a break and close above the 20-day EMA ($37.84) could open the doors for a possible rally to the overhead resistance of $42. The bulls will have to overcome this barrier to signal the completion of an inverse H&S pattern.

Dogecoin price analysis

The bulls successfully defended the breakout level from the triangle but failed to propel Dogecoin (DOGE) above the $0.09 overhead resistance.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

This indicates a lack of demand at higher levels. The bears will try to gain the upper hand by pulling the price below the moving averages.

If they succeed, the DOGE/USDT pair could drop to the uptrend line. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because if they fail in their endeavor, the pair could start a downward move to $0.07.

The bulls will have to drive and maintain the price above $0.09 to indicate the start of a new up move. The pair could surge to the $0.10 to $0.11 resistance zone, where the bears are likely to mount a strong defense.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

标签：ADA AVAX bnb BTC