Time:2024-02-10 Click:140
该分析首先仔细研究最近的市场走势,特别是在比特币 ETF 推出之后。爱德华兹指出,经过两个月的不确定性和对 ETF 数据的仔细审查,有迹象表明出现了积极的解决方案。
比特币 ETF 势头转变
Charles Edwards 强调,在比特币 ETF 推出的最初反应之后,势头发生了显着变化,他观察到灰度比特币 ETF 的资金流出有所减少。这一转变与他之前的预测相符,标志着市场情绪的积极转变。
Edwards 强调了 Blackrock 和 Fidelity 的比特币 ETF 取得的巨大成功,这些 ETF 在不到一个月的时间里就吸引了超过 60 亿美元的资产。这一成就凸显了比特币在传统金融领域的接受度不断提高,并标志着 ETF 推出的历史性里程碑。
富达将比特币纳入其“一体式保守型ETF”被视为对比特币投资价值的重大认可。爱德华兹认为此举是比特币在传统投资渠道中获得认可的关键一步。
Edwards 预测,未来 12-24 个月内,主要 ETF 将其部分资产配置为比特币,比例为 1-5%,这是一种潜在趋势。这一发展被视为比特币被更广泛接受并融入主流投资组合的关键。
技术分析表明看涨势头
Charles Edwards 在比特币技术分析中发现了看涨趋势,并指出比特币突破了 44,000 美元的阻力位。他将这一突破解释为市场看涨情绪的积极迹象,表明有进一步上涨的潜力。
看涨趋势的关键水平确认 :爱德华兹强调了比特币每周收盘价高于 47,000 美元中区间的重要性,并表示这将为新的看涨趋势提供强有力的技术确认。这一水平是市场未来走势的关键决定因素。
有吸引力的风险回报设置 :Edwards 强调了低时间范围的技术面,讨论了向月度阻力位的谨慎移动,为投资者提供了有吸引力的风险回报 (R:R) 设置。他认为,战略风险管理加上这一技术突破,为短期内价格大幅上涨提供了潜力。
Bitcoin price analysis | Source: Capriole Investments
Potential Price Targets:According to Edwards, a clean breakout above the $44,000 resistance level on the daily timeframe could lead to a measured move towards monthly resistance. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with potential rewards of 3-4 times higher at price targets ranging from $58,000 to $65,000.
Capriole Bitcoin Macro Index | Source: Capriole Investments
Charles Edwards’ bullish perspective is grounded in a comprehensive analysis of both fundamentals and on-chain data. A pivotal component of this analysis is Capriole’s Bitcoin Macro Index, which consolidates more than 50 Bitcoin-related metrics into a single model, providing valuable insights.
Confirmation of Fundamental Uptrend: According to Edwards, the fundamental uptrend resumed recently, coinciding with a supportive continuation of the technical move. He emphasizes the importance of ongoing on-chain fundamental growth aligning with price action to confirm the mid-range breakout. Edwards highlights the significance of Monday’s reading in this context.
BTC price, 1-day chart | Source:BTCUSD on TradingView.com
Bullish Conclusion: Edwards concludes his analysis on a bullish note, noting a clear technical breakout and a transition of on-chain fundamentals into growth territory. With the resolution of ETF-related concerns and positive developments in both technical and fundamental aspects, he expresses optimism for Bitcoin’s short-term prospects, setting a positive tone for the beginning of February.
Important:Please note that this article is only meant to provide information and should not be taken as legal, tax, investment, financial, or any other type of advice.